So how does all that look visually? All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. The Hill . All Rights Reserved. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. Will Israel Strike Before Iran Buys Russian S-400 Air Defense Systems. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. Both campaigns have armies of attorneys at the ready for PA and other states. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. There was an error processing your request. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? The. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. But. But What about Investing in Bonds? It is not a red state. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? How red or blue is your state? Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? Global Liquidity Is Increasing Despite the Fed. The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. There are three classes of Senators; one is up for election every second year. They propose partition of the U.S. as a way of allowing both groups to achieve their policy goals while reducing the chances of civil war. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. And since groceries are taxable, Idaho gives residents an annual credit to offset the fees (the credit amount is higher for seniors over 65). Map of election results. Geographic borders associated with district numbers may have changed. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. . Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". In fact, the only Georgia county that flipped Burke voted Clinton in 2016, then Trump in 2020. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. Press Enter to view state-level map. The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. Crime rate U.S. 2020, by state. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. The Bay State added more than 480,000 people last decade for a total population of 7,029,917 in 2020. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. Trump's lone breakthrough in the "blue wall" in 2020 was the one electoral vote from Maine, which he again won. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. Here's the count: 2020: Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. However, there are pros and cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. Not one! By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, as CNN, CBS, ABC, and The New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, while Time and The Washington Post used the opposite scheme. Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. VOA explains. On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. In September, just eight states had. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic 2020 Electoral Map Results. [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. (PA, GA, MI)". Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. Election results provided by the Associated Press. The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. because red and blue state designations . Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. After flipping red as a key swing state for President Donald Trump in 2016, former Vice President Joe Biden claimed Wisconsin's electoral votes today in what is being called one of the most important elections of a lifetime.. Wisconsin was a battleground state in the 2020 presidential election, and its 10 electoral votes were highly sought after by both candidates due to Wisconsin's . But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works.
is pennsylvania, a red or blue state 2020
Previous post: itcs 2022 accepted papers